Poll Shows Majority of Likely Voters Support Deporting Unauthorized Immigrants Ahead of 2026 Midterms

What's happening

A recent poll conducted by Cygnal reveals that nearly two-thirds of likely voters in the upcoming 2026 midterm elections support deporting unauthorized immigrants from the United States. The survey, which sampled 1,004 likely voters over two days in late January, found that 61% favor removing individuals who entered the country illegally, while 34% oppose such measures. This data underscores a strong public preference for enforcing immigration laws and highlights the issue as a significant factor in voter decision-making ahead of the elections.

The poll results come amid ongoing national debates over immigration enforcement policies and the role of agencies like U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Many voters view illegal immigration primarily as a matter of law and order, with 73% of respondents agreeing that entering the country without legal permission constitutes breaking the law. This perception drives support for deportation and federal enforcement efforts, reflecting broader concerns about national security, resource allocation, and community safety.

Brent Buchanan, founder and CEO of Cygnal, emphasized the clarity of voter sentiment, stating that Americans want the law enforced and expect unauthorized immigrants to be removed. He noted that politicians who attempt to hinder ICE's work risk voter backlash. This strong stance on immigration enforcement appears to cut across party lines and could influence political strategies as candidates prepare for the 2026 midterms.

The poll also sheds light on the political landscape surrounding immigration. While Democrats currently hold a slight lead in congressional ballot preferences, their support appears vulnerable when immigration enforcement becomes a focal point. The survey indicates that efforts to defund ICE or soften deportation policies may alienate swing voters who prioritize law enforcement, potentially benefiting Republican candidates who emphasize strict immigration controls.

What's at stake

This dynamic is particularly relevant given recent controversies involving ICE operations in states like Minnesota, where enforcement actions have sparked protests and debate. Critics argue that aggressive immigration enforcement can lead to community unrest and unnecessary violence, while supporters contend that upholding immigration laws is essential for maintaining order and security. The poll suggests that, despite these tensions, a majority of voters still back strong enforcement measures.

The findings also highlight a divide in public opinion on the future of immigration policy. While some advocate for reform and more lenient approaches, the data indicates that a significant portion of the electorate favors maintaining or increasing deportation efforts. This divide is likely to shape campaign messaging and legislative priorities as the midterm elections approach, with immigration emerging as a key issue for voter mobilization and candidate positioning.

Looking ahead, the 2026 midterms will serve as a critical test of how immigration enforcement resonates with the electorate. Candidates on both sides of the aisle will need to navigate complex voter attitudes that balance concerns about legality, security, and humanitarian considerations. The poll results suggest that immigration policy could be a decisive factor in close races, influencing not only voter turnout but also the broader political discourse around border security and immigration reform.

As the election season progresses, it will be important to monitor how political parties respond to these findings. Republican candidates may double down on promises to enforce immigration laws and support ICE operations, while Democratic leaders face the challenge of addressing voter concerns without alienating their base. The evolving debate over deportation policies and immigration enforcement will likely remain a focal point in campaign strategies and public discussions through 2026.

Ultimately, the Cygnal poll provides a snapshot of current voter attitudes that could shape the direction of U.S. immigration policy in the near term. Observers should watch for how these views translate into legislative action and electoral outcomes, as well as how they influence the broader national conversation about immigration in the months leading up to the midterm elections.

Why it matters

A majority of likely voters support deporting unauthorized immigrants, signaling strong public demand for enforcement. The poll highlights immigration as a key issue influencing voter preferences ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Voters largely view illegal immigration as a law enforcement issue, affecting political accountability and candidate positioning.

Support for ICE and opposition to defunding the agency reflect widespread backing for federal immigration enforcement. The findings suggest potential political risks for parties advocating softer immigration policies or defunding ICE.

Key facts & context

The Cygnal poll surveyed 1,004 likely voters from January 27 to January 28, 2026. 61% of respondents favor deporting individuals who entered the U.S. illegally, while 34% oppose deportation. 73% of those surveyed believe unauthorized entry into the U.S. constitutes breaking the law.

54% support ICE's role in enforcing immigration laws, and 58% oppose efforts to defund the agency. 64% of likely voters consider illegal immigration a significant problem in the United States. Democrats hold a slight lead in congressional ballot preferences but lose ground when immigration enforcement is emphasized.

Controversies over ICE enforcement, such as incidents in Minnesota, have intensified public debate on immigration policies. Brent Buchanan, CEO of Cygnal, stated that voters want the law enforced and punish politicians who block ICE. The poll indicates immigration will be a pivotal issue shaping voter engagement and campaign strategies in 2026.

The survey underscores a divide between voters favoring strict enforcement and those advocating for immigration reform.

Timeline & key developments

2026-02-02: Poll Shows Strong Support for Deporting Unauthorized Immigrants Ahead of 2026 Midterms. Additional reporting on this topic is available in our broader archive and will continue to shape this timeline as new developments emerge.

Primary sources

• uscis.gov document

Further reading & references

• (Additional background links will appear here as we cover this topic.)